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09/04/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Roy Halladay goes after win No. 17 this evening, when the playoff-hopeful Philadelphia Phillies continue their three-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers at Citizens Bank Park.
Halladay has lost his last two starts, though, despite quality outings that have seen him surrender six runs in 14 innings. The Phillies, however, have provided him with just two runs in those outings.
On Monday in Los Angeles, Halladay allowed three runs and 10 hits in seven innings, but the Phillies were one-hit in the 3-0 setback to the Dodgers. The loss dropped Halladay to 16-10 on the year to go along with the second-best earned run average in the National League at 2.27. His 190 strikeouts are also one shy of Los Angeles left-hander Clayton Kershaw's NL lead.
Halladay, who is 10-5 with a 1.95 ERA at Citizens Bank Park this year, lost to the Brewers the only other time he faced them, giving up four runs and seven hits in six innings back in 2005.
Cole Hamels pulled the Phillies within a game of first place in the National League East on Friday, as the left-hander twirled seven strong innings and Carlos Ruiz drove in the game's lone run in Philadelphia's 1-0 win.
Philadelphia has now held the opposition to one run or less in five of its past seven games.
Hamels (9-10) gave up just three hits to go with seven strikeouts and three walks to pick up his second straight win. Ryan Madson recorded his fifth save of the year by throwing a scoreless ninth.
The Phillies, who have now won four in a row and seven of eight, improved to a major league best 29-12 since July 21 and closed the gap even further on the division-leading Atlanta Braves, who lost to Florida on Friday.
"When you're in first place and people are chasing you and you lose and it's close, you know exactly what's going on and where you're at," said Phils manager Charlie Manuel when asked about the Braves. "We've just got to keep on playing. But they feel us. I think they know where we're at."
Brewers starter Chris Capuano (2-3) was solid in five frames, allowing one run on four hits to suffer the hard-luck loss. He fanned four batters and walked two for Milwaukee, which has lost four straight.
Getting the call for Milwaukee this evening will be righty Dave Bush, who is 7-11 with a 4.71 ERA. Bush picked up a win against Pittsburgh on Sunday, as he allowed four runs (three earned) and seven hits in seven innings.
Bush carried a no-hitter into the eighth inning in his last trip to Philadelphia, but lost to the Phillies earlier in the season. He is 1-2 lifetime against them with a 5.40 ERA in nine starts.
Philadelphia swept a three-game set in Milwaukee back in May and has won six of the past eight meetings between the two clubs.
<< Braves try to bounce back in key series with Marlins
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Josh Johnson hopes for a better result than the last time
he faced Atlanta when he and the Florida Marlins continue their three-game
set with the Braves tonight at Sun Life Stadium.
Johnson surrendered just three hits and
<< Rockies try to pin ninth straight loss on reeling Padres
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The San Diego Padres try to avoid a ninth straight loss
this afternoon, when they play the middle test of their three-game series with
the Colorado Rockies at Petco Park.
San Diego's slide continued in the opener of this s
<< Cards seek to gain further ground on first-place Reds
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Adam Wainwright tries once again to become the National
League's first 18-game winner when the St. Louis Cardinals continue their
three-game series against the Cincinnati Reds today at Busch Stadium.
Like his team, Wainwri
<< Marquee mound matchup on tap in Angels-A's tilt
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) -- This afternoon's showdown between the Los Angeles Angels
of Anaheim and Oakland Athletics may have little effect on the American League
playoff race, but fans attending the Coliseum today should be treated to a
top-notch pit
Tigers vie to break even in matchup with Royals >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Detroit Tigers can pull back to .500 in the midst of a
lengthy second-half slump tonight, when they visit Kauffman Stadium for the
second of three weekend games with the host Kansas City Royals.
The Tigers won Friday's
D-Backs host Astros, shoot for fifth straight win >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Recent trade acquisition Joe Saunders tries to make it two
wins in a row for the first time since arriving in Arizona tonight, when the
Diamondbacks meet the Houston Astros in the middle matchup of a three-game
weekend series
Dodgers hoping to further cripple Giants' playoff hopes >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Matt Cain tries to make it two straight wins against the
club that has given him more trouble than any other team in his young career
when the San Francisco Giants continue their three-game set against the Los
Angeles Dodgers
Mariners, Indians to go at it again in Emerald City >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) -- The Seattle Mariners will attempt to build off an
impressive pitching performance when the American League West cellar-dwellers
take on the Cleveland Indians tonight in the continuation of a four-game
series between last-pla
Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
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